Running  ·  2026-10-29 11:57 UTC  ·  SPRINT MODE (logging bar 15, real threshold 40)
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Calibrating
The model can now start learning which of its 8 signals actually work (see 'Per-Signal Accuracy' below). At 100 trades, position sizing based on real performance unlocks — sizing stays fixed at $25/trade until then. You have 91.
91 / 100 trades · 91%
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Not ready — win rate too low
Win rate of 48% means the model is wrong more than it's right so far on the trades that have closed. Keep collecting data.
Today's Universe
9
Symbols scanned
3
Open positions (max 3)
284 excluded as stagnant (volatility floor) · last scan took 138s, evaluated 500 candidates
Funnel: 500 evaluated → 4 no-bar-data, 284 stagnant, 198 low-volume, 5 cap-unavailable, 0 cap-too-small, 0 bankruptcy → 9 passed
Predicta only ever analyzes and suggests here — it never buys or sells on its own. Use the buttons under a suggestion below to place a real order yourself.
Closed P&L (50 trades)
+$63.63
Total P&L
48%
Win rate
Across the 50 paper trades that have closed so far: total hypothetical profit/loss (fixed $25 per trade, not real money) and the share that were profitable.
Open Positions
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BUY HIVE · HIVE Digital Technologies Ltd
Sold off hard and fast — the bet is sellers overshot and it bounces back, not that the price is too high. It's trading at $2.02, only 7% above its lowest price in the last 20 days.
Bought at $2.02/share (real stock price) · Confidence: moderate — just past the bar the model requires to act at all
✅ Sell for a profit if the price rises to $3.03.
⚠️ Sell to limit the loss if the price drops to $1.01 (rare — most positions never fall this far).
⏰ If neither of those happens, the system automatically closes this position in 4 more trading days, no matter the price.
opened 2026-10-28T12:02 UTC — this is a fixed $25 paper position, not shares bought at full account size
See the technical details (raw score 17.77/100)
  • Trading 7% above its 20-day low ($1.89 → $2.02) — the closer to 0%, the nearer a recent bottom
  • RSI(14) is 17 — oversold (heavy recent selling)
  • Today's volume is 1.1x the 20-day average — a spike often means capitulation selling (or, less often, a real move starting)
  • Insiders SOLD shares during this window with no offsetting purchases — a red flag against the 'sellers overshot' bet
  • Last 5 days: stock +2.5% vs. its sector ETF +2.2% (+0.4pp relative)
  • 1 recent headlines, sentiment +0.00 (-1 very negative to +1 very positive)
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BUY ACCV · Accelevation Holdings Corp
Sold off hard and fast — the bet is sellers overshot and it bounces back, not that the price is too high.
Bought at $12.37/share (real stock price) · Confidence: moderate — just past the bar the model requires to act at all
✅ Sell for a profit if the price rises to $18.55.
⚠️ Sell to limit the loss if the price drops to $6.18 (rare — most positions never fall this far).
⏰ If neither of those happens, the system automatically closes this position in 2 more trading days, no matter the price.
opened 2026-10-26T12:02 UTC — this is a fixed $25 paper position, not shares bought at full account size
See the technical details (raw score 20.21/100)
  • RSI(14) is 30 — neutral
  • Looks like a scheduled vest-and-sell, not real conviction buying — an insider's purchase and sale landed within a week of each other, the pattern of an equity-award vesting and a routine partial sale, not someone independently deciding to buy the stock
  • Last 5 days: stock -5.0% vs. its sector ETF -0.5% (-4.5pp relative)
  • 1 recent headlines, sentiment +0.82 (-1 very negative to +1 very positive)
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BUY ABR · Arbor Realty Trust Inc
Sold off hard and fast — the bet is sellers overshot and it bounces back, not that the price is too high. It's trading at $2.90, only 11% above its lowest price in the last 20 days.
Bought at $2.90/share (real stock price) · Confidence: moderate — just past the bar the model requires to act at all
✅ Sell for a profit if the price rises to $4.35.
⚠️ Sell to limit the loss if the price drops to $1.45 (rare — most positions never fall this far).
⏰ If neither of those has happened yet, the system closes this position today no matter the price.
opened 2026-10-22T12:03 UTC — this is a fixed $25 paper position, not shares bought at full account size
See the technical details (raw score 38.42/100)
  • Trading 11% above its 20-day low ($2.60 → $2.90) — the closer to 0%, the nearer a recent bottom
  • RSI(14) is 26 — oversold (heavy recent selling)
  • Today's volume is 1.2x the 20-day average — a spike often means capitulation selling (or, less often, a real move starting)
  • No recorded insider buying or selling in the last 30 days
  • Last 5 days: stock +11.3% vs. its sector ETF +1.3% (+10.0pp relative)
  • 5 recent headlines, sentiment +0.36 (-1 very negative to +1 very positive)
Cross-Engine Exposure
High Value16 open / cap 3
Low Value3 open / cap 3
Pairs0 open / no cap set
19 total open positions across all engines. Visibility only — no combined limit is enforced; each engine still gates its own concurrent positions independently. Reports position counts, not dollar exposure, since High Value (ATR-sized), Low Value (fixed $25), and Pairs (untracked size) aren't comparable in dollars yet.
Recent Closed Trades
BUY IVVD · Invivyd Inc · sold off hard and fast — the bet is sellers overshot and it bounces back, not that the price is too high · sold automatically after 5 trading days — the price never reached the profit point or the loss-limit point P&L: -$1.59
Real stock price: $0.64/share → $0.60/share (-6.4%) — the P&L above is on a fixed $25 paper position, not the share price itself
  • Trading 5% above its 20-day low ($0.61 → $0.64) — the closer to 0%, the nearer a recent bottom
  • RSI(14) is 27 — oversold (heavy recent selling)
  • Today's volume is 1.1x the 20-day average — a spike often means capitulation selling (or, less often, a real move starting)
  • No recorded insider buying or selling in the last 30 days
  • Last 5 days: stock -1.6% vs. its sector ETF -5.5% (+3.9pp relative)
  • 2 recent headlines, sentiment +0.41 (-1 very negative to +1 very positive)
BUY ABUS · Arbutus Biopharma Corp · sold off hard and fast — the bet is sellers overshot and it bounces back, not that the price is too high · sold automatically after 5 trading days — the price never reached the profit point or the loss-limit point P&L: -$0.18
Real stock price: $4.23/share → $4.20/share (-0.7%) — the P&L above is on a fixed $25 paper position, not the share price itself
  • Trading 3% above its 20-day low ($4.12 → $4.23) — the closer to 0%, the nearer a recent bottom
  • RSI(14) is 30 — neutral
  • Today's volume is 0.4x the 20-day average — a spike often means capitulation selling (or, less often, a real move starting)
  • No recorded insider buying or selling in the last 30 days
  • Last 5 days: stock +0.5% vs. its sector ETF -7.8% (+8.2pp relative)
BUY INDI · indie Semiconductor Inc · sold off hard and fast — the bet is sellers overshot and it bounces back, not that the price is too high · sold automatically after 5 trading days — the price never reached the profit point or the loss-limit point P&L: -$2.55
Real stock price: $2.01/share → $1.80/share (-10.2%) — the P&L above is on a fixed $25 paper position, not the share price itself
  • Trading 0% above its 20-day low ($2.01 → $2.01) — the closer to 0%, the nearer a recent bottom
  • RSI(14) is 12 — oversold (heavy recent selling)
  • Today's volume is 2.1x the 20-day average — a spike often means capitulation selling (or, less often, a real move starting)
  • No recorded insider buying or selling in the last 30 days
  • Last 5 days: stock -26.6% vs. its sector ETF -5.4% (-21.2pp relative)
  • 3 recent headlines, sentiment +0.19 (-1 very negative to +1 very positive)
BUY AREC · American Resources Corp · sold off hard and fast — the bet is sellers overshot and it bounces back, not that the price is too high · sold automatically after 5 trading days — the price never reached the profit point or the loss-limit point P&L: -$4.43
Real stock price: $1.32/share → $1.09/share (-17.7%) — the P&L above is on a fixed $25 paper position, not the share price itself
  • Trading 0% above its 20-day low ($1.32 → $1.32) — the closer to 0%, the nearer a recent bottom
  • RSI(14) is 9 — oversold (heavy recent selling)
  • Today's volume is 1.2x the 20-day average — a spike often means capitulation selling (or, less often, a real move starting)
  • No recorded insider buying or selling in the last 30 days
  • Last 5 days: stock -22.1% vs. its sector ETF +5.4% (-27.5pp relative)
  • 1 recent headlines, sentiment +0.10 (-1 very negative to +1 very positive)
BUY AMBP · Ardagh Metal Packaging SA · sold off hard and fast — the bet is sellers overshot and it bounces back, not that the price is too high · sold automatically after 5 trading days — the price never reached the profit point or the loss-limit point P&L: +$1.59
Real stock price: $4.39/share → $4.67/share (+6.4%) — the P&L above is on a fixed $25 paper position, not the share price itself
  • Trading 2% above its 20-day low ($4.32 → $4.39) — the closer to 0%, the nearer a recent bottom
  • RSI(14) is 39 — neutral
  • Today's volume is 3.1x the 20-day average — a spike often means capitulation selling (or, less often, a real move starting)
  • No recorded insider buying or selling in the last 30 days
  • Last 5 days: stock -1.2% vs. its sector ETF +1.2% (-2.4pp relative)
  • 1 recent headlines, sentiment -0.13 (-1 very negative to +1 very positive)
BUY AESI · Atlas Energy Solutions Inc · sold off hard and fast — the bet is sellers overshot and it bounces back, not that the price is too high · sold automatically after 5 trading days — the price never reached the profit point or the loss-limit point P&L: -$2.80
Real stock price: $12.48/share → $11.09/share (-11.2%) — the P&L above is on a fixed $25 paper position, not the share price itself
  • Trading 14% above its 20-day low ($10.99 → $12.48) — the closer to 0%, the nearer a recent bottom
  • RSI(14) is 43 — neutral
  • Today's volume is 0.6x the 20-day average — a spike often means capitulation selling (or, less often, a real move starting)
  • No recorded insider buying or selling in the last 30 days
  • Last 5 days: stock +4.0% vs. its sector ETF +3.1% (+0.9pp relative)
  • 2 recent headlines, sentiment +0.28 (-1 very negative to +1 very positive)
BUY ABR · Arbor Realty Trust Inc · sold off hard and fast — the bet is sellers overshot and it bounces back, not that the price is too high · sold automatically after 5 trading days — the price never reached the profit point or the loss-limit point P&L: -$4.88
Real stock price: $3.48/share → $2.81/share (-19.5%) — the P&L above is on a fixed $25 paper position, not the share price itself
  • Trading 0% above its 20-day low ($3.47 → $3.48) — the closer to 0%, the nearer a recent bottom
  • RSI(14) is 12 — oversold (heavy recent selling)
  • Today's volume is 1.4x the 20-day average — a spike often means capitulation selling (or, less often, a real move starting)
  • No recorded insider buying or selling in the last 30 days
  • Last 5 days: stock -12.2% vs. its sector ETF -0.6% (-11.6pp relative)
  • 7 recent headlines, sentiment +0.57 (-1 very negative to +1 very positive)
BUY BSBR · Banco Santander Brasil SA · sold off hard and fast — the bet is sellers overshot and it bounces back, not that the price is too high · sold automatically after 5 trading days — the price never reached the profit point or the loss-limit point P&L: +$1.95
Real stock price: $5.38/share → $5.80/share (+7.8%) — the P&L above is on a fixed $25 paper position, not the share price itself
  • Trading 1% above its 20-day low ($5.33 → $5.38) — the closer to 0%, the nearer a recent bottom
  • RSI(14) is 28 — oversold (heavy recent selling)
  • Today's volume is 0.6x the 20-day average — a spike often means capitulation selling (or, less often, a real move starting)
  • Insiders SOLD shares during this window with no offsetting purchases — a red flag against the 'sellers overshot' bet
  • Last 5 days: stock -6.3% vs. its sector ETF -2.5% (-3.8pp relative)
  • 8 recent headlines, sentiment +0.21 (-1 very negative to +1 very positive)
BUY ADBT · Advasa Holdings, Inc. · sold off hard and fast — the bet is sellers overshot and it bounces back, not that the price is too high · sold automatically after 5 trading days — the price never reached the profit point or the loss-limit point P&L: +$0.33
Real stock price: $0.12/share → $0.12/share (+1.3%) — the P&L above is on a fixed $25 paper position, not the share price itself
  • Trading 23% above its 20-day low ($0.10 → $0.12) — the closer to 0%, the nearer a recent bottom
  • RSI(14) is 21 — oversold (heavy recent selling)
  • Today's volume is 0.4x the 20-day average — a spike often means capitulation selling (or, less often, a real move starting)
  • No recorded insider buying or selling in the last 30 days
  • Last 5 days: stock +2.1% vs. its sector ETF +0.2% (+1.9pp relative)
BUY EU · enCore Energy Corp · company insiders have been buying their own stock recently · sold automatically after 5 trading days — the price never reached the profit point or the loss-limit point P&L: -$0.64
Real stock price: $1.18/share → $1.15/share (-2.5%) — the P&L above is on a fixed $25 paper position, not the share price itself
  • Trading 35% above its 20-day low ($0.87 → $1.18) — the closer to 0%, the nearer a recent bottom
  • RSI(14) is 49 — neutral
  • Today's volume is 0.5x the 20-day average — a spike often means capitulation selling (or, less often, a real move starting)
  • Insiders bought shares and did NOT sell — a strong sign this is fear-driven selling, not a real problem with the company
  • Last 5 days: stock -4.1% vs. its sector ETF -0.4% (-3.7pp relative)
  • 2 recent headlines, sentiment +0.77 (-1 very negative to +1 very positive)
BUY ADMA · ADMA Biologics Inc · sold off hard and fast — the bet is sellers overshot and it bounces back, not that the price is too high · sold automatically after 5 trading days — the price never reached the profit point or the loss-limit point P&L: +$0.93
Real stock price: $9.38/share → $9.73/share (+3.7%) — the P&L above is on a fixed $25 paper position, not the share price itself
  • Trading 9% above its 20-day low ($8.61 → $9.38) — the closer to 0%, the nearer a recent bottom
  • RSI(14) is 46 — neutral
  • Today's volume is 1.4x the 20-day average — a spike often means capitulation selling (or, less often, a real move starting)
  • No recorded insider buying or selling in the last 30 days
  • Last 5 days: stock +2.8% vs. its sector ETF +3.5% (-0.7pp relative)
  • 3 recent headlines, sentiment +0.54 (-1 very negative to +1 very positive)
BUY EOSE · Eos Energy Enterprises Inc · company insiders have been buying their own stock recently · sold automatically after 5 trading days — the price never reached the profit point or the loss-limit point P&L: -$3.46
Real stock price: $3.58/share → $3.08/share (-13.8%) — the P&L above is on a fixed $25 paper position, not the share price itself
  • Trading 18% above its 20-day low ($3.03 → $3.58) — the closer to 0%, the nearer a recent bottom
  • RSI(14) is 49 — neutral
  • Today's volume is 1.2x the 20-day average — a spike often means capitulation selling (or, less often, a real move starting)
  • Insiders bought shares and did NOT sell — a strong sign this is fear-driven selling, not a real problem with the company
  • Last 5 days: stock -9.3% vs. its sector ETF +1.8% (-11.1pp relative)
  • 4 recent headlines, sentiment +0.25 (-1 very negative to +1 very positive)
BUY NB · NioCorp Developments Ltd · sold off hard and fast — the bet is sellers overshot and it bounces back, not that the price is too high · sold automatically after 5 trading days — the price never reached the profit point or the loss-limit point P&L: -$1.57
Real stock price: $3.73/share → $3.50/share (-6.3%) — the P&L above is on a fixed $25 paper position, not the share price itself
  • Trading 7% above its 20-day low ($3.50 → $3.73) — the closer to 0%, the nearer a recent bottom
  • RSI(14) is 40 — neutral
  • Today's volume is 0.6x the 20-day average — a spike often means capitulation selling (or, less often, a real move starting)
  • No recorded insider buying or selling in the last 30 days
  • Last 5 days: stock +5.2% vs. its sector ETF -0.4% (+5.6pp relative)
  • 5 recent headlines, sentiment +0.15 (-1 very negative to +1 very positive)
BUY TLRY · Tilray Brands Inc · sold off hard and fast — the bet is sellers overshot and it bounces back, not that the price is too high · sold automatically after 5 trading days — the price never reached the profit point or the loss-limit point P&L: +$0.94
Real stock price: $3.99/share → $4.14/share (+3.8%) — the P&L above is on a fixed $25 paper position, not the share price itself
  • Trading 2% above its 20-day low ($3.93 → $3.99) — the closer to 0%, the nearer a recent bottom
  • RSI(14) is 20 — oversold (heavy recent selling)
  • Today's volume is 0.5x the 20-day average — a spike often means capitulation selling (or, less often, a real move starting)
  • No recorded insider buying or selling in the last 30 days
  • Last 5 days: stock -0.7% vs. its sector ETF +1.8% (-2.6pp relative)
  • 9 recent headlines, sentiment +0.21 (-1 very negative to +1 very positive)
BUY FSK · FS KKR Capital Corp · an analyst downgrade — the bet is the market's reaction overshot · sold automatically after 5 trading days — the price never reached the profit point or the loss-limit point P&L: +$0.47
Real stock price: $12.04/share → $12.27/share (+1.9%) — the P&L above is on a fixed $25 paper position, not the share price itself
  • Trading 14% above its 20-day low ($10.55 → $12.04) — the closer to 0%, the nearer a recent bottom
  • RSI(14) is 65 — neutral
  • Today's volume is 0.6x the 20-day average — a spike often means capitulation selling (or, less often, a real move starting)
  • Insiders bought shares and did NOT sell — a strong sign this is fear-driven selling, not a real problem with the company
  • Last 5 days: stock +1.1% vs. its sector ETF +0.8% (+0.3pp relative)
  • 3 recent headlines, sentiment -0.01 (-1 very negative to +1 very positive)
Win Rate by Thesis Type (dynamic_weights)
EARNINGS_MISS n=6 · 67% win
TECHNICAL_OVERSOLD n=69 · 48% win
INSIDER_BUYING n=12 · 42% win
ANALYST_DOWNGRADE n=3 · 33% win
POSITIVE_CATALYST n=1
Per-Signal Accuracy (91 closed trades)
Which of the 8 signals actually correlate with a winning trade, not just how much weight each one was assigned by guess. A signal below 50% win rate here is a real candidate for being overweighted in the composite.
insider_buying_30d 56% WR · — · n=34
volume_spike 55% WR · — · n=20
price_vs_20d_low 49% WR · — · n=80
rsi_14 46% WR · — · n=69
sector_relative_strength 45% WR · — · n=75
news_sentiment 40% WR · — · n=48
short_interest_pctOnly 0 active trade(s) — need 10
cash_burn_monthsOnly 0 active trade(s) — need 10
social_sentimentOnly 0 active trade(s) — need 10